Arctic Ice Melting at Record Rate
By Cat Lazaroff WASHINGTON, DC, December 9, 2002
(ENS) -
More ice melted from the surface of the Greenland Ice Sheet
this year than ever before recorded, report scientists from the
University of Colorado. The same team found that the extent of
Arctic sea ice reached the lowest level in the satellite record
in 2002, offering further evidence that climate change is already
altering the Arctic. Sea ice beneath midnight sun in June, in the
Bering Sea off St. Matthew Island in Alaska.. (Photo ©
WWF-Canon/Kevin Schafer)Researchers from the University of
Colorado (UC) based Cooperative Institute for Research in
Environmental Sciences (CIRES), say the accelerated melting
appears to be linked to shifts in Northern Hemisphere atmospheric
circulation patterns. The study also found temperatures during
the summer of 2002 were warmer than usual over much of the Arctic
Ocean. "Since the season also was characterized by very
stormy conditions, we believe these two factors contributed to
extensive melt and break up of the icepack," said UC
research associate Mark Serreze. The 2002 sea ice record is the
most recent evidence of a downward trend in Arctic sea ice in the
decades since satellite monitoring began, said Serreze, a
researcher at CIRES' National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC),
and lead author on a report about sea ice extent and area in the
Arctic. Satellite data show the area of the Arctic Ocean covered
by sea ice in September 2002. Lower than average concentrations
of ice floes appear in blue and higher concentrations in yellow.
The lavender line indicates a more typical ice extent, the median
for 1988-2000. The white circle at the North Pole is the area not
imaged by the satellite sensor.. (Graphic courtesy NSIDC)UC
researcher James Maslanik, a coauthor of the study, noted that
the 2002 minimum sea ice record in the Arctic is the lowest since
the early 1950s and could be the lowest in several centuries.
"It is likely that sea ice extent will continue to decline
over the 21st century as the climate warms," Serreze added.
"With these trends, we may see an approximate 20 percent
reduction in the annual mean sea ice by 2050, and by then we
might be approaching no ice at all during the summer
months." The report was released on Saturday at the annual
fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union, just one week
after an announcement by the National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) that sea ice is melting about nine percent
faster than prior research had indicated, and could vanish
entirely by the end of this century. Bull Seal Bay with melting
sea ice in June, St. Matthew Island, Alaska. (Photo ©
WWF-Canon/Kevin Schafer)The new findings underscore the urgency
of steps to reduce human contributions to global warming, said
Jennifer Morgan, director of the climate change program at the
World Wildlife Fund (WWF). "This trend of disappearing
arctic sea ice is one example of the environmental damage that
can be linked to carbon dioxide emissions," said Morgan.
"When we have the means to reduce CO2 emissions and prevent
further damage, inaction is irresponsible. National leaders must
act now to implement energy efficiency measures and increase the
use of renewable energy sources, like wind and solar, before it's
too late." The burning of coal and other fuels emits carbon
dioxide (CO2) and other gases that blanket the earth, trap in
heat and cause global warming. According to the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change in the polar
region is expected to be the greatest of anywhere on Earth. Polar
bears spend much of their lives hunting for seals from sea ice.
(Photo © Steve Morello, courtesy WWF)In a report issued earlier
this year, WWF described ongoing polar bear research showing how
these Arctic mammals depend on annual accumulations of sea ice to
hunt seals, a major protion of their diet. In that report, WWF
described how as temperatures in the Arctic become warmer - and
are remaining warmer for longer periods - the ice free season
lengthens, threatening the survival of polar bears and other
Arctic wildlife. The new reports from NASA and the University of
Colorado suggest that sea ice is retreating even faster than
suggested by the WWF report in May. Satellite monitoring by NSIDC
led to the discovery of the record sea ice retreat, said UC
research associate Julienne Stroeve. "We saw an unusually
pronounced loss of ice in the Beaufort, Chukchi, East Siberian
and Laptev Seas," Stroeve said, noting the ice extent in
September 2002 was about two million square miles compared to the
long term average of about 2.4 million square miles. any harp
seals give birth to pups like this one on floating sea ice.
(Photo © Steve Morello, courtesy WWF)"We had a hunch it was
setting up to be a record year in August," said Ted Scambos
of NSIDC, who has been working in Earth's polar regions.
"What we saw really surprised us. Not only was sea ice
retreating in nearly every sector, but the interior ice was
unusually thin and spread out." Preliminary measurements
from the Greenland Ice Sheet show the melt extent of 265,000
square miles, a new record, underscoring the unusual warming
there and surpassing the maximum melt extent from the past 24
years by more than nine percent, said CIRES climatologist Konrad
Steffen. Steffen's analyses with graduate student Russel Huff
show a higher melting trend since 1979 that appears to have been
interrupted just once, in 1991, when the Philippines' Mt.
Pinatubo erupted. A harp seal pokes its head up through melting
sea ice. (Photo © Steve Morello, courtesy WWF)Steffen and Huff
found the northern and northeastern portion experienced extreme
melting reaching as high as 6,560 feet in elevation, where
temperatures are normally too cold for melting to occur. Mount
Gunnbjornsfjeld, rising 3,700 meters (12,139 feet) in southeast
Greenland, is the highest point in the country. The melting ice
could lead to even faster warming, said NSIDC's Scambos. Both sea
ice and glacier ice cool Earth, reflecting about 80 percent of
springtime solar radiation and 40 percent to 50 percent during
summer snowmelt. In winter, ice cover slows heat loss from warmer
ocean water to the cold atmosphere. Without large sea ice masses
at the poles to moderate the global energy balance, warming
escalates, Scambos explained. CU scientists estimate that a
change in the Greenland climate toward warmer conditions would
lead to an increase in the rate of sea level rise, due largely to
the response of the large ice sheet and not so much to the
surface melting. alrus use their tusks to haul themselves onto
floating ice, where they can rest, molt, give birth and raise
their young. (Photo © Steve Morello, courtesy WWF)"For
every degree (F) increase in the mean annual temperature near
Greenland, the rate of sea level rise increases by about 10
percent," Steffen said. The oceans are now rising by a
little more than half an inch per decade. Melt water has also
been shown to affect the rate of ice flow off Greenland directly,
penetrating the ice sheet and causing the glaciers to accelerate
in speed as they slide over a thin film of melt water. The
melting of sea ice, along with runoff from the Greenland Ice
Sheet, could impact deep water convection in the North Atlantic,
altering global ocean circulation and climate, said the UC's
Serreze. "In other studies, changes in the North Atlantic
circulation have been implicated in starting and stopping
Northern Hemisphere ice ages," he added.